Wednesday, June 8, 2011

Is Iran two months away from a nuclear bomb?

Iran is going to install centrifuges into its heavily fortified Fordo facility inside the mountains near Qom, it announced today.

The ultimate purpose of this move is to triple the enrichment capacity. They also say that they could eventually abolish the Natanz side which doesn't have to be the case.




Meanwhile, the U.N. nuclear watchdog agency believes that the country is working on a bomb. The project is almost complete, IAEA suggests. The statement seems to be in a remarkable agreement with the RAND corporation, a think tank, that claims that Iran may be 8 weeks away from the nuclear bomb.

Those guesses may and may not be true. It may be counterproductive and unethical to attack Iran if she doesn't deserve it. And on the contrary, it could be much more troublesome not to attack Iran if she is actually completing the bomb. It's questionable whether it's too late already.

Would it be difficult to neutralize the Fordo facility by a nuclear strike and, if it is not enough, by an H-bomb? If the information about the location of the key facilities were safe enough, the facilities could be the only thing that matters. In principle, the Iranian people and officials could be informed about the neutralization of those places in advance so that everyone can relocate and there would have to be no casualties at all. ;-)